The Big W Stock Chart

Trade

entry can be initiated aggressively near the bottom of the second leg if the bells ring loudly. The top of the shorter move marking the partial retracement of the last downward impulse (middle of the W) now becomes our main pivot price for analysis and further trade entry. For price to successfully return to this point, it must retrace 100% of the last fall (from the second low). This finally breaks the lower high, lower low bear cycle. In strong DBs, price will quickly surge to this price right off the second bottom.

A less aggressive long position can be entered when this new impulse retraces strongly through 62% of the fall into the second low. However, if a short-term exit is desired, sufficient profit potential must exist between the entry and the pivot price for this trade to make sense. Longer-term traders can hold positions as price mounts this pivot. At this point, it will often pause to test support. However, another upward leg is then expected.

Price returning to the height of the middle of the Big W has a very high probability of surging beyond this point. Under normal conditions, it can easily retrace 100% of the original downward impulse, completing both the DB and Big W patterns. This tendency allows for further entry at the expected return test to the pivot point after the second surge has begun. The TIG chart provides an excellent example of this second chance opportunity.

In 1996, property-casualty carrier TIG Holdings charted a double bottom volatility ride uncommon in insurance stocks. As price emerged from a small but powerful Turtle Reversal, it faithfully completed a classic double bottom variation: the outline of the letter W.